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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed at 8399.40 points, down 0.28%.Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.

Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was examined and investigated. On December 10th, WeChat official account WeChat reported that Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was suspected of serious violation of discipline and law, and took the initiative to explain the problem to the organization. At present, he is being examined by the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of Jiangxi Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection in the Provincial Public Security Department and supervised by the Supervision Committee of Yushan County, Shangrao City.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.

Reserve Bank of Australia: The issue of interest rate cuts was not explicitly discussed. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that interest rate cuts were not explicitly considered, and interest rate hikes were not discussed. Considering whether the current policy stance is appropriate. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with the forecast.The researcher of Everbright Bank commented on China's import and export data in November: the export growth rate is stronger than seasonality, and foreign trade exports are expected to grow steadily in the next few months. Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher in the financial market department of Everbright Bank, told Wall Street that the export growth rate in November was stronger than seasonality, the import decline exceeded expectations (weaker than seasonality), the trade surplus expanded, and foreign trade contributed more to the economy in the fourth quarter. Due to the resilience of overseas demand, overseas foreign trade importers rushed to avoid tariffs and hoarded goods in advance, and the effects of policies such as stabilizing foreign trade appeared, driving export growth to exceed expectations; The decline in imports in November exceeded expectations, mainly due to the weak recovery of domestic demand, the cautious decision of enterprises to expand and increase import inventory, and the low prices of international energy and other commodities that depressed the overall import cost.Chaojie Co., Ltd.: In the field of humanoid robots, there are small batches of samples made of metal materials. Chaojie Co., Ltd. responded to investors' questions on the interactive platform, saying that the company already has PEEK auto parts for customers. At present, in the field of humanoid robots, the company has supplied customers with small batches of metal samples. Because humanoid robots have not yet reached the stage of industrial scale, they have not yet obtained batch orders. At present, this business accounts for a relatively low proportion of the company's revenue, which has not had a significant impact on the company's performance.